I’m tracking Tropical Storm Katia again this morning
, as she has gained some power
. Max sustained winds are creeping toward hurricane strength (above 74 mph) at 65 mph, and that trend unfortunately will continue as it rolls over warmer water and light wind shear. The direction hasn’t changed yet, still moving at a quick 21 mph to the WNW. There will be no landfall for anybody (including the Leeward Islands) for at least the next five days. As Katia moves closer to North America, the steering will start to be influenced
by whatever high pressure or trough is over the region next week. It’s still too early to tell
exactly what the US weather will be in seven days, so the track can’t be nailed down beyond five days at this point.
There’s also an interesting cluster of storms over the Southern Gulf/Western Caribbean
this morning that may affect the US weather this weekend. The NHC is giving it only a 10% chance
of turning into a tropical depression, but a few computer models develop it into a big storm
that could affect LA/TX. This could mean beneficial rain
for the weekend, but could mean damaging winds as well. That’s all speculative anyway since the thing hasn’t even formed yet. I’ll tweet
what happens with this thing.