Hurricane Irene’s impact is going to be huge. I’ve been following along with the
National Hurricane Center the path and strength of the storm, and it looks inevitable that it will make at
least one landfall on the US East coast. The timing goes like this: It will probably gain a little strength this afternoon south of NC. Tropical storm force winds will start to come into the state this afternoon. Hurricane force winds (over 74 mph) will build through the nighttime hours with
the center of the storm reaching the shore by Saturday afternoon. It will chug across eastern NC for a few hours and emerge just off shore from VA, encountering the cooler Labrador Current. At this point the winds will be knocked down a bit, but since the storm itself is so large (tropical storm force winds extend nearly
300 miles from the center, with
hurricane force winds extending 90 miles out) it really doesn’t matter much. There will be
tons of power outages starting in NC Saturday, VA, DE, MD on Saturday night. The storm will roll past or over NJ on Sunday and
into the NYC area Sunday afternoon, with numerous outages and flooding. From there Irene will rain through the Hudson Valley and into New England with
6-12” of rain and fast winds through Monday.
One of the biggest concerns is the storm surge for the NYC metro area. It’s likey that Irene will be a Category 2 storm once it reaches the area, and that means the storm surge will envelope and submerge the Brooklyn water front (including the Naval Yard). It will most likely put the
FDR under water, flood portions of the
Brooklyn Battery Tunnel, submerge Lower Manhattan (
Battery Park, Wall Street), cover a good deal of
Governor’s Island as well as
Liberty Island and Ellis Island. The West Side of NYC will have flooding up the
Hudson. Over on the Jersey side Jersey City,
Hoboken, Weehawken up the base of the Palisades will have flooded roads. The
Lincoln and Holland Tunnels will most likely see flooding too.