If you've been following presidential politics, you know that swing states are, well, really important in deciding who comes out on top. Remember Florida in the 2000 race? Al Gore does.
Well, a new poll out shows that President Obama is doing well with voters in three battleground states: Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.
- Obama leading presumptive GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney in Florida 51% to 45%
- Obama leading Romney in Ohio 50% to 44%
- Obama leading Romney in Pennsylvania 53% to 42%
- Only 4% of likely voters in each of the states are undecided
- Independents favor Obama over Romney in Florida 47% to 46%, 47% to 44% in Ohio, and 58% to 36% in Pennsylvania
- Women are more likely to pick Obama while men favor Romney
- Economy: 47% in Florida said Romney would better handle the sagging economy; 45% said Obama. In Ohio, 46% of voters favored Obama to tackle the economy, 45% for Romney. In Pennsylvania, Obama came out on top with 48% to Romney's 44%
- The poll was conducted by telephone July 24 to 30, 1,177 likely voters were polled, and it had a sampling error of plus or minus 2.9 percentage points
"If today were November 6, President Barack Obama would sweep the key swing states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania and – if history is any guide – into a second term in the Oval Office," Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute, said in a press release.
The CNN electoral map has Florida and Ohio as toss-up states, while Pennsylvania is "leaning Obama."
The reason for the Obama tilt? Lower unemployment rates in Ohio and Florida, Brown said. "The president is running better in the key swing states than he is nationally."
Then again, it's still early in presidential politics watching -- a time when most voters are following the Olympic rivalry between swimmers Michael Phelps and Ryan Lochte than paying attention to the latest gaffe from the campaign trail. Voters, then, tend to start paying attention during the conventions.
Brown said the saving grace for the former Massachusetts governor is that "he roughly breaks even with the president on who is best on the economy."
Again, it's still early and a lot can happen in 97 days until the election.